The letter is the first publicly announced personal communication from an Iranian premier to a U.S. president since Washington-Tehran ties were broken after the 1979 Islamic revolution, a former presidential official said.
...“In this letter, he has given an analysis of the current world situation, of the root of existing problems and of new ways of getting out of the current delicate situation in the world..."
This is a diplomatic bombshell.
I've said this before. Iran's rhetoric about Israel isn't about Israel. Iran wants direct negotiations with the US.
We have a choice.
Negotiate directly and work with a solution, or continue this insane path toward war.
But Iran wants a few things. They might include pressure upon Pakistan to allow for a pipe through to India (Iran and India have had similar geopolitical interests); some assurance that we won't be belligerent. And some ways to develop an alternative energy plan that frees itself from oil dependency. Use just a little systems theory and you'll understand that what Iran wants is attention.
This means that Iran probably won't bomb anyone. In fact, bombing anyone is an expensive and insane proposition. Threats are far more effective and useful. Iran is uniting people on the home front, because the threats seem defensive there; and they make sure we're listening. They may continue to be aggressive. I don't think they will do much.
Ironically, Iran did the humane thing by reaching out to George Bush. It demonstrates that Iran may not want to be an enemy. I wonder what else they are seeking. But with this letter, they have changed the terms of the debate, forcing Washington to confront Iran directly with diplomacy.
It was a clever move on Iran's part. "Let's talk." Here is some commentary:
US threats are not seen as being directed against Iran’s government but against Iranians in general. The same is true of US sanctions which affect all aspects of ordinary Iranians’ lives. No one in Iran can purchase a novel from amazon.com because Iran is excluded from the list of countries where people can purchase books electronically.
Second, the general public does not consider the nuclear issue to be of vital importance. Nuclear technology will do little for the average Iranian – it cannot create more jobs for a country that needs 1m jobs annually, it cannot change the chronic low efficiency, productivity and effectiveness of the economy and management, and it will do nothing to improve Iran’s commercial ties with the rest of the world.
Third, much of Iran’s political elite does not seem ready to engage in a risky undertaking that might jeopardise the very existence of the Islamic government. Iran has a track record of rational action over the past 27 years in a turbulent region.